Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 7.643927e-05 9.302202e-05 0.000111 0.000132 0.000155 0.000179 0.000208
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.387903e-05 7.412619e-05 0.000098 0.000126 0.000160 0.000198 0.000244
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.091562e-05 6.222559e-05 0.000088 0.000122 0.000163 0.000210 0.000268
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.069425e-05 5.211275e-05 0.000080 0.000117 0.000165 0.000221 0.000291
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.429466e-05 4.556547e-05 0.000075 0.000115 0.000168 0.000232 0.000314
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.804232e-05 3.821253e-05 0.000068 0.000110 0.000167 0.000238 0.000331
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.442173e-05 3.402421e-05 0.000064 0.000109 0.000171 0.000250 0.000353
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.133768e-05 3.015259e-05 0.000061 0.000108 0.000175 0.000261 0.000375
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 8.445096e-06 2.587290e-05 0.000056 0.000105 0.000174 0.000266 0.000390
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.088781e-06 2.199613e-05 0.000051 0.000101 0.000174 0.000271 0.000404
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.391266e-06 1.891855e-05 0.000048 0.000098 0.000174 0.000276 0.000418
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.696008e-06 1.509040e-05 0.000042 0.000092 0.000168 0.000274 0.000423
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.976441e-06 1.421052e-05 0.000043 0.000099 0.000186 0.000309 0.000483
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.236298e-07 1.062922e-05 0.000038 0.000095 0.000188 0.000322 0.000515
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.556940e-07 7.823252e-06 0.000034 0.000091 0.000188 0.000332 0.000542
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.904983e-08 5.666222e-06 0.000030 0.000087 0.000189 0.000343 0.000572
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.623082e-10 4.221666e-06 0.000027 0.000085 0.000192 0.000357 0.000604
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.818724e-06 0.000024 0.000081 0.000192 0.000364 0.000628
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.056436e-06 0.000022 0.000080 0.000196 0.000379 0.000663
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.460583e-06 0.000020 0.000079 0.000200 0.000395 0.000698
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 8.823839e-07 0.000018 0.000076 0.000200 0.000403 0.000723
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.831867e-07 0.000016 0.000073 0.000200 0.000411 0.000747
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.415932e-07 0.000014 0.000071 0.000200 0.000420 0.000773